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A Quiet Observer

A space for quiet contemplation and gentle observations about life, growth, and the moments that shape us. Sometimes the most profound insights come from simply paying attention.

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Recent Observations

The latest quiet contemplations and gentle insights

Religious institutions maintain prophetic credibility through unfalsifiable frameworks that absorb all outcomes, a pattern revealed clearly in Russell M. Nelson's presidency, and my decade-long journey from silence to speaking.

faith-transitionmormon-epistimologyunfalsifiable-systemsreligious-authorityspeaking-after-silence
8 min read

Religious institutions maintain prophetic credibility by counting hits, discounting misses, and retroactively drawing targets around wherever their predictions happened to land.

failed-propheciesreligious-authorityrapture-predictionsmormon-prophecytexas-sharpshooter-falacy
6 min read

The real threat to American democracy isn't coming from the left or the right—it's coming from the normalization of political violence itself and the leaders who exploit tragedy to deepen divisions rather than heal them.

political-violencecharlie-kirkamerican-democracydata-vs-rhetoricunity-over-division
5 min read